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U.S. Government Shutdown Nears End | Market Performance After Past Closures
After 41 days, the US government shutdown might finally be over. Late Monday, the Senate approved a temporary funding bill, and the House is set to vote on it Wednesday — a move that could end the longest government closure in US history.
But what happens to markets when the dust settles?
📊 The data says it all
Looking back 40 years, the S&P 500 shows a clear pattern after shutdowns. Two months later, markets averaged a 3.14% gain and were positive 88% of the time. Six months out? 11.18%. One year later? 15.25%.
Translation: relief rallies don’t just happen overnight — they tend to stick around. Once government spending resumes and paychecks return, money starts flowing and optimism builds, often fueling market momentum.
